On July 17, the grain deal expires and it is still unclear whether Russia is ready to keep it. President Vladimir Putin has said that Moscow will approve its extension only if the promises made to the country are fulfilled. Turkish political scientist Kerim Has is sure that the termination of the deal will untie the hands of NATO.
He pointed out that NATO would get a reason to send warships through the Bosphorus and the Dardanelles to the Black Sea. And bargaining will continue until the very last minute.
“I think that the grain deal will be extended with a probability of 51%. But Russia will not give the go-ahead because it benefits from this deal. Moscow is interested in the geopolitical aspect. If it withdraws from the agreement, the leading NATO countries may try to send warships to the Black Sea,” he told Izvestia.
At the same time, Andrey Koshkin, head of the department of political analysis and socio-psychological processes at the Plekhanov Russian University of Economics, considers the refusal of the Russian Federation to extend the deal as the most likely outcome.
“President Putin has clearly said that there is no need for us to extend the deal. And of course, if the situation does not change, apparently, we can suspend our participation in this quadripartite agreement,” the expert said.
Read more in the exclusive Izvestia article:
Extension of the past: what fate awaits the grain deal